Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index
One-OffMacro & Economy3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.9%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleOct 17, 23, 12:49 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
As of October, 2023, the Case Schiller index is at 310.
- At some point in the next 3+ years, before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will decline by 20% and the index will be less than 250.
- https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/indicators/sp-corelogic-case-shiller-us-national-home-price-nsa-index/#overview
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index resolve?
- Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As of October, 2023, the Case Schiller index is at 310.