Above 423.62
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 81.5%
Yes 81.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$988.6
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 7:00 PM UTCFeb 28, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will New Hampshire home prices rise YoY?
KalshiWill Rhode Island home prices rise YoY?
KalshiBefore Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index
Manifold MarketsWill Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
KalshiWill Colorado home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
KalshiWill home prices revert to pre-2020 levels?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Federal Housing Finance Agency
- The Underlying is the Nevada (NV) Q4 2026 indexsa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset. The 423.62 threshold is fixed and will not change if FHFA later revises its Q4 2025 value. Use NV → 2026 → Q4 → indexsa
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
