KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 365 52.6%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$437.3
Liquidity
$828.3
Low liquiditySpread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 12:00 AM UTCOct 14, 26, 12:29 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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0%
0%
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0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US Gasoline prices exceed $4.25 for the week ending December 28, 2026?
ForecastExWill US Gasoline prices exceed $4.35 for the week ending December 28, 2026?
ForecastExWill US Gasoline prices exceed $4 for the week ending December 28, 2026?
ForecastExCPI in September
KalshiUS shelter CPI in September
KalshiWill core CPI be above headline CPI in September?
KalshiRules
If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FRED
- This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $148.5M
- 24h Vol
- $7.6M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Total Vol
- $9.2M
- 24h Vol
- $74.5K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5K
- 24h Vol
- $33.5K
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+10.3pt28.9%
- 4.7-5.0%+11.8pt25%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.1%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46.6K
- 24h Vol
- $7.1K
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US gasoline CPI for September?
- Kalshi prices Above 365 at 53% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does US gasoline CPI for September resolve?
- US gasoline CPI for September is scheduled to resolve on October 14, 2026.
- How is US gasoline CPI for September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.