KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Ox Alpha (98%)
Resolved: Sep 2, 2026, 5:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 2, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Ox Alpha98%
Anthropic1%
Google0%
OpenAI0%
Tencent0%
Xiaomi0%
DeepSeek2%
Z.ai2%
Ox AlphaWon
DeepSeekLost
Z.aiLost
AnthropicLost
GoogleLost
OpenAILost
TencentLost
XiaomiLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If DeepSeek is the Highest usage model company model on OpenRouter Top Model by weekly usage on week of Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Model Rankings
- This event will resolve based on the updated values for the week of Aug 24, 2026.
- The "Highest usage model company" refers to the model author company of the single model with the greatest weekly token volume as displayed on the OpenRouter Top Models chart, not the company with the greatest aggregate token volume across all of its models.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.