KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ox Alpha 96.1%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$21.7K
Liquidity
$31.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 5:00 PMAug 31, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
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Rules
If DeepSeek is the Highest usage model company model on OpenRouter Top Model by weekly usage on week of Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Model Rankings
- This event will resolve based on the updated values for the week of Aug 24, 2026.
- The "Highest usage model company" refers to the model author company of the single model with the greatest weekly token volume as displayed on the OpenRouter Top Models chart, not the company with the greatest aggregate token volume across all of its models.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Open markets
AI
GEMINITOUR Championship Winner
- Viktor Hovland39%
- Scottie Scheffler19%
- Ryan Gerard16.5%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $236.2K
- 24h Vol
- $70.7K
GEMININC State vs Virginia
- Virginia100%
- NC State0%
- Total Vol
- $73K
- 24h Vol
- $61.5K
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt94%
- September 30+4.0pt92%
- September 15-3.0pt79%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.6pt66.7%
- ChatGPT+2.0pt14.3%
- Grok-1.7pt8.6%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.5M
KALSHIStealth market share this week
- Above 3.0%87.6%
- Above 4.5%-1.0pt2.6%
- Above 5%2.6%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $177.1K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-1.3pt58.6%
- SpaceX-0.5pt40.4%
- OpenAI+0.2pt1%
+9 more outcomes
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Xiaomi market share this week
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Jacksonville State vs North Dakota State
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- Chicago vs Tennessee
- San Diego vs Tampa Bay
- Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Most popular AI this week?
- Kalshi prices Ox Alpha at 96% as of August 30, 2026.
- When does Most popular AI this week resolve?
- Most popular AI this week is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026.
- How is Most popular AI this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If DeepSeek is the Highest usage model company model on OpenRouter Top Model by weekly usage on week of Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.