KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Above 164T tokens 99%+73.0ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Above 164T tokens 99%+73.0ptMarket quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$25.4K
Open interest
$50.1K
High open interestMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Above 164T tokens99%
Above 144T tokens99%
Above 158T tokens99%
Above 160T tokens99%
Above 146T tokens99%
Above 162T tokens99%
Above 156T tokens99%
Above 148T tokens99%
Above 142T tokens99%
Above 150T tokens99%
Above 152T tokens99%
Above 154T tokens99%
Above 166T tokens1%
Above 168T tokens1%
Above 170T tokens1%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Model Rankings
- This event will resolve based on the value for the seven UTC calendar days from Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026, as observed at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 5, 2026. For purposes of this market, “token usage” means the token usage included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings and does not represent total AI token usage across all providers or platforms. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 164T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 164T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 144T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 144T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 158T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 158T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 160T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 160T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 146T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 146T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 162T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 162T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 156T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 156T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 148T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 148T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 142T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 142T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 150T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 150T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 152T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 152T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 154T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 154T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 166T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 166T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 168T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 168T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 170T tokens
- If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 is above 170T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes.