KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 16% 99%Market line of 6 lines
Above 16% 99%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$18.9K
Open interest
$18.9K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 29, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 2, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiAnthropic share of spend on Sep 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiMoonshot AI share of spend on Sep 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiOpenAI share of requests on Sep 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketRules
If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 30, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 16%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 24%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 24%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 22%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 22%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 26%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 18%, then the market resolves to Yes.