KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 600,000 · —
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Stored price
Above 660,000 49%Market line of 8 lines
Above 660,000 49%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$12
Open interest
$3.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 600,000Spread
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Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 600,000
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US new home · Median sales price in September
KalshiBefore Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index
Manifold MarketsUS retail sales in September
KalshiUK retail sales in September
KalshiUS existing home sales for October
KalshiWill the median new home sales price exceed $405,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExRules
If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 660,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
Rules for each outcome
- Above 600,000
- If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 600,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 620,000
- If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 620,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 640,000
- If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 640,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 660,000
- If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 660,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 680,000
- If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 680,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 700,000
- If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 700,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 720,000
- If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 720,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 740,000
- If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 740,000, then the market resolves to Yes.