KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 12:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 12.0% · —
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Stored price
Above 12.0% 32%Market line of 9 lines
Above 12.0% 32%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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Above 12.0%Spread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 18, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 23, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 12.0%
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Rules
If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 12.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 12.0%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 12.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 16.6%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 16.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.3%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 4.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.0%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.0%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.5%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 8.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9.3%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 9.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10.7%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 10.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 13.9%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 13.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
