KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 9:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
KalshiBrazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026?
FutuurVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketWho will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiVenezuela presidential election scheduled by which date?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketRules
If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement qualifies even if Venezuela's withdrawal will take effect later.
- Consideration, negotiations, a conditional proposal, an anonymous or leaked report, an opposition statement, or an OPEC+ policy change without an OPEC withdrawal does NOT qualify.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
Open markets
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $145.6M
- 24h Vol
- $696.4K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-8.5pt82.2%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+8.4pt15.8%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+15 more outcomes
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt8%
- September 305%
- Total Vol
- $104.2K
- 24h Vol
- $39.8K
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva51.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.0pt43%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.8%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4M
- 24h Vol
- $37.1K
KALSHINew Mexico St. vs Hawai'i
- Hawai'i-6.0pt71%
- New Mexico St.+5.0pt29%
- Total Vol
- $26.5K
- 24h Vol
- $25.3K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-0.3pt85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez11.3%
- María Corina Machado+0.3pt2.1%
+13 more outcomes
- Worlds 2026 Winning Region
- Paraná Governor Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
- New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i: Spread
- Tucuman vs River Plate
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Venezuela exit OPEC??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2027 at 0% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Venezuela exit OPEC? resolve?
- Will Venezuela exit OPEC? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Venezuela exit OPEC? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.