KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2028 37.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2028 37.5%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
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PolymarketRules
If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement qualifies even if Venezuela's withdrawal will take effect later. Consideration, negotiations, a conditional proposal, an anonymous or leaked report, an opposition statement, or an OPEC+ policy change without an OPEC withdrawal does NOT qualify. An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions or expressions of interest without commitment Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents not confirmed by government sources Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions Retraction of previously announced commitments
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Venezuela agrees to or announces an OPEC exit before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.