FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 92%
No 92%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$919.3
Low liquidityTraders
7
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts whether Brazil will become a full member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or membership listings published by OPEC confirming Brazil’s admission as a full member.
- If OPEC officially confirms Brazil as a full member during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Participation as an observer, dialogue partner, or as a non-member associate of OPEC+ will not count.
- If official OPEC communications are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations.
