KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 82%
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$22.1
Liquidity
$3.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 18.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Aug 25, 26, 4:30 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 4:55 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiSouth Africa inflation rate MoM for August
KalshiBrazil inflation rate in September
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in Singapore Real GDP exceed -5% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in Singapore Real GDP exceed 0% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in Singapore Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExRules
If Japan Inflation Rate YoY is above Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only the first non-preliminary value reported for each measure will be used.
- The values will be compared as published in percent.
- A tie resolves No, and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $148.5M
- 24h Vol
- $7.6M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Total Vol
- $9.2M
- 24h Vol
- $74.5K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5K
- 24h Vol
- $33.5K
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+10.3pt28.9%
- 4.7-5.0%+11.8pt25%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.1%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46.6K
- 24h Vol
- $7.1K
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August??
- Kalshi prices No at 82% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? resolve?
- Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? is scheduled to resolve on September 23, 2026.
- How is Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Japan Inflation Rate YoY is above Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.