KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 1.150M 99%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200
Liquidity
$281.4
Low liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 12:29 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US Housing Starts exceed 1,100,000 in August 2026?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,200,000 in August 2026?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,300,000 in August 2026?
ForecastExWill Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?
KalshiConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiRules
If US housing starts for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The Underlying is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for August 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics).
- If the August 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the August 2026 Housing Starts value.
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $146.1K
- 24h Vol
- $55.1K
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.9K
- 24h Vol
- $20.9K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $18.6K
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-31.0pt34%
- At least ¥74,000-39.0pt28%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.8K
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.1K
- Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US housing starts for August?
- Kalshi prices Above 1.150M at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does US housing starts for August resolve?
- US housing starts for August is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is US housing starts for August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If US housing starts for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.