KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 85%
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
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ForecastExWhat will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiWhat will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiRules
If the European Union has formally adopted a binding EU-wide prohibition on imports of goods originating in Israeli settlements in the occupied Palestinian territories, covering those goods generally as a class rather than only a narrow product category, after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Council of the European Union
- Only reporting from the Council of the European Union qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications from before issuance do NOT qualify unless the new report explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of publication.
- Final adoption of the EU legal act qualifies even if entry into force or application begins later.
Open markets
Trade PolicyKALSHIWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Before 2027-0.9pt5%
- Before August0%
- Total Vol
- $2.4M
- 24h Vol
- $24.6K
KALSHIWhen will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
- Before Jan 1, 202762%
- Before Dec 1, 202658%
- Before Nov 1, 202658%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.1K
- 24h Vol
- $7.1K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt27%
- October 3112%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
- Before Dec 1, 202659%
- Before Jan 1, 202755%
- Before Nov 1, 202652%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.5K
- 24h Vol
- $5.5K
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3157.5%
- October 31-2.0pt29.2%
- September 3013.3%
+1 more outcomes
KALSHIWill Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Total Vol
- $2.8K
- 24h Vol
- $2.8K
- Will Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?
- Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
- US x Cuba economic deal by which date?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods??
- Kalshi prices No at 85% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods? resolve?
- Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the European Union has formally adopted a binding EU-wide prohibition on imports of goods originating in Israeli settlements in the occupied Palestinian territories, covering those goods generally as a class rather than only a narrow product category, after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.