KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Sep 29, 2026, 2:37 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 29, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 19%1%
Above 20%1%
Above 21%1%
Above 24%1%
Above 22%1%
Above 18%1%
Above 25%1%
Above 16%1%
Above 27%1%
Above 19%Lost
Above 20%Lost
Above 21%Lost
Above 24%Lost
Above 22%Lost
Above 18%Lost
Above 25%Lost
Above 16%Lost
Above 27%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 28, 2026 is above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 29, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 28, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 28, 2026 is above 18%, then the market resolves to Yes.