KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above -0.1% · —
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Stored price
Above -0.1% 85.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Above -0.1% 85.5%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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Above -0.1%Spread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 21, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above -0.1%
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in core goods CPI for October 2026 is above -0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:BLS - CPI-U
- “Core goods CPI” means “Commodities less food and energy commodities” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Resolution uses the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change for October 2026 published in the first BLS CPI release reporting that month’s data, at its published precision. The value will not be recalculated from index levels. Subsequent revisions, including revisions to seasonal adjustments, will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above -0.1%
- If the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in core goods CPI for October 2026 is above -0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.0%
- If the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in core goods CPI for October 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.3%
- If the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in core goods CPI for October 2026 is above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.4%
- If the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in core goods CPI for October 2026 is above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.5%
- If the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in core goods CPI for October 2026 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.1%
- If the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in core goods CPI for October 2026 is above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.2%
- If the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in core goods CPI for October 2026 is above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
