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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Inflation
  3. CPI core in Apr 2026
CPI core in Apr 2026

CPI core in Apr 2026

6.0% (24h)Inflation
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Above 0.0% (99%)

Resolved: May 12, 2026, 2:44 PM

Current implied probability
Above 0.4%
Above 0.4% 6%-6.0%
Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$69.9

Liquidity

$760.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

3.0% / 5.0%

Spread

66.7%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 47 days ago

Stale
Mar 11, 26, 8:00 PMMay 19, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Above 0.4%
Above 0.4%
-6.0%
6%
Above 0.3%
Above 0.3%
+5.0%
57%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.2%
91%
Above 0.5%
Above 0.5%
-1.0%
1%
Above 0.6%
Above 0.6%
-2.0%
1%
Above 0.0%
Above 0.0%
99%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.
  • In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$59,323.85-0.83%EthereumETH$1,559.33-1.06%SolanaSOL$66.05+0.29%

Related Markets

CPI core in June

CPI core in June

$3.4
Above 0.1%: 77%KalshiKALSHI
CPI core in July

CPI core in July

$0
Above 0.0%: 93%KalshiKALSHI
CPI core in August

CPI core in August

$0
Above 0.0%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

$25.7K
3.8%: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Monthly

June Inflation US - Monthly

$2.3K
≤0.1%: 95%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

$827.6
y ≥ 2.0%: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BNBBNB$553.90-0.12%DogecoinDOGE$0.0731-1.03%XRPXRP$1.03-2.43%

Related News

Inflation gauge hits 3-year high as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 77.5%Blockchain.NewsHot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.NewsPCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.NewsBitcoin has a new line in the sand. Thursday’s core PCE could stress test it.CoindeskCathie Wood predicts inflation collapse as Fed hike fears growCrypto NewsInflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Rules

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.
  • In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for April 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.