KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Apr 1, 2027 53.5%
Before Apr 1, 2027 53.5%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$121.3
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 6:34 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Apr 1, 2027
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Federal Communications Commission announces a decision to generally bar new models of data-center optical transceivers produced in China or by Chinese-controlled entities from U.S. equipment authorization, importation, or marketing before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Communications Commission
Rules for each outcome
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If the Federal Communications Commission announces a decision to generally bar new models of data-center optical transceivers produced in China or by Chinese-controlled entities from U.S. equipment authorization, importation, or marketing before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the Federal Communications Commission announces a decision to generally bar new models of data-center optical transceivers produced in China or by Chinese-controlled entities from U.S. equipment authorization, importation, or marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.