KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 63%
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$4.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 63.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 9:29 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Artificial Intelligence is the reason with the highest number of job cuts in Table 4: Job Cuts by Reason in the Challenger, Gray & Christmas Job Cut Announcement Report for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Challenger, Gray & Christmas
- For purposes of this market, “AI” refers to the row labeled “Artificial Intelligence” in Table 4.
- The market will use the initially published September 2026 Challenger Job Cut Announcement Report, regardless of later revisions, corrections, or updates.
- If Artificial Intelligence is tied for the highest number of job cuts among reasons in Table 4, the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.6%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.5M
- 24h Vol
- $100.2K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-13.5pt65%
- November 30,-11.0pt50%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $262.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Anthropic market share this week
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in September??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 63% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in September? resolve?
- Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in September? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in September? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Artificial Intelligence is the reason with the highest number of job cuts in Table 4: Job Cuts by Reason in the Challenger, Gray & Christmas Job Cut Announcement Report for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.