KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
58.0% / 65.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of their law suit against Anthropic (Case 5:26-cv-09217 ) (originally filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, San Jose Division), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCMSNBCcourt clerk's office for judicial bodyLaw360STAT NewsPACERBloomberg Law Court FilingsCBSthe Associated PressThe Washington PostLegal Monitor WorldwideCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsWestlaw Court RecordsThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoBloomberg NewsReuters
- Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell achieves the superior outcome through the following exclusive hierarchy:
- Net Monetary Recovery (Highest Priority): Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell achieves the superior outcome if they receive a larger net monetary award than all opposing parties combined (after offsetting any awards against Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell).
- Attorney's fees and costs are excluded.
- Substantive Legal Victory (Second Priority): If no net monetary advantage exists, Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell achieves the superior outcome if they prevail on claims seeking the largest dollar amount of relief in their original pleadings, or if relief amounts are equal, on the greater number of primary causes of action.
- Case Termination Advantage (Third Priority): If the case terminates without substantive judgment, Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell achieves the superior outcome if (as defendant) all claims are dismissed with prejudice, or (as plaintiff) opposing parties voluntarily dismiss all claims with prejudice.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-6.0pt63.4%
- 2027-12.5pt29.7%
- 2026-2.5pt6.9%
- Total Vol
- $262.9K
- 24h Vol
- $176.7K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.3pt57.7%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.9%
- Grok-2.4pt5.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt79.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt11.1%
- Gemini2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $405.1K
- 24h Vol
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell win their law suit against Anthropic??
- Kalshi prices No at 100% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell win their law suit against Anthropic? resolve?
- Will Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell win their law suit against Anthropic? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell win their law suit against Anthropic? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of their law suit against Anthropic (Case 5:26-cv-09217 ) (originally filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, San Jose Division), then the market resolves to Yes.