KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Above 26.6% No observed price
Above 26.6% No observed priceMarket quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownSpread
96.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 9, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 26.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 9, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 8, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 26.6%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 26.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 29.5%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 29.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 31.1%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 31.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 32.5%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 32.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 34.4%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 34.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35.3%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 35.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 37.1%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 37.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 37.5%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 37.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40.8%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 40.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.