KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Current implied probability
Above 34.8% 99%+97.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Above 34.8% 99%+97.0ptMarket quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11K
Open interest
$20.8K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 42 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 8:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Above 34.8%99%
Above 42.6%1%
Above 38.2%1%
Above 40.6%1%
Above 48.1%1%
Above 44.4%1%
Above 46.2%1%
Above 50.4%1%
Above 53.8%1%
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KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 5, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 34.8%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is above 34.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 42.6%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is above 42.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 38.2%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is above 38.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40.6%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is above 40.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 48.1%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is above 48.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 44.4%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is above 44.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 46.2%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is above 46.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50.4%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is above 50.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 53.8%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is above 53.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.