KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 40% (99%)
Resolved: Sep 9, 2026, 3:53 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 3:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 44%3%
Above 46%5%
Above 40%99%
Above 42%0%
Above 48%0%
Above 50%0%
Above 40%Won
Above 46%Lost
Above 44%Lost
Above 42%Lost
Above 48%Lost
Above 50%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Ramp AI Index Anthropic model adoption rate for August 2026 is above 40%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Ramp AI Index
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value publicly reported in the Ramp AI Index Anthropic model adoption rate for August 2026.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
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- If the Ramp AI Index Anthropic model adoption rate for August 2026 is above 42%, then the market resolves to Yes.