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Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
David Bailey 22%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 2:17 PM UTCFeb 15, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner
PolymarketDefensive Rookie of the Year Finalists
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRules
Who will win the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year in the 2026-27 season?
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year in the 2026-27 season.
- Outcome verified from the Governing League and ESPN.
- Gemini is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? · David Bailey 24%
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.0pt56.5%
- 2027+3.5pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Total Vol
- $261.2K
- 24h Vol
- $186.6K
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $401K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.4pt62.4%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt23.8%
- Grok-2.6pt5.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-8.0pt63%
- 1490+-8.5pt54%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner??
- Gemini prices David Bailey at 22% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? resolve?
- Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? is scheduled to resolve on February 15, 2027.
- How is Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year in the 2026-27 season?
- Where else is Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.