FutuurClosedVerified resolution dataThis market resolved: Between 2.1% and 2.3% (39%)
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, 2:18 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityBetween 1.8% and 2.0% 51.4%-5.0ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityTraders
14
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Between 1.8% and 2.0%54%
Between 2.1% and 2.3%39%
Between 1.5% and 1.7%3%
1.1% or less4%
Between 2.4% and 2.6%2%
Between 1.2% and 1.4%1%
3.0% or more3%
Between 2.7% and 2.9%1%
51.4%
37.1%
3.8%
2.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Markets in this event resolve according to Argentina’s monthly inflation rate for July 2026 — the national monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index ("Variación % mensual, Total nacional") published in INDEC’s monthly IPC report, scheduled for release on August 13, 2026.
- The market whose range contains the reported figure will resolve "Yes"; exactly one outcome wins.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt33%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $52.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting34%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $136.5K
- 24h Vol
- $13.2K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes56%
- No44%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $12.6K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $140.6K
- 24h Vol
- $7.9K
KALSHIHow much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+6.0pt93%
- Above 0.2%-1.0pt29%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $48.8K
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
- CPI-U index in August
- US gasoline CPI for August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Argentina monthly inflation — July 2026?
- Futuur prices Between 1.8% and 2.0% at 51% as of August 13, 2026.
- When does Argentina monthly inflation — July 2026 resolve?
- Argentina monthly inflation — July 2026 is scheduled to resolve on August 13, 2026.
- How is Argentina monthly inflation — July 2026 settled?
- Futuur settles this market as follows: Markets in this event resolve according to Argentina’s monthly inflation rate for July 2026 — the national monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index ("Variación % mensual, Total nacional") published in INDEC’s monthly IPC report, scheduled for release on August 13, 2026.