KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 310 99%Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$427.2
Liquidity
$23.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Aug 16, 26, 8:00 PMSep 11, 26, 12:29 PM
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FRED
- This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-3.0pt67.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt31.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46.3M
- 24h Vol
- $4.2M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+7.0pt56%
- No-7.0pt44%
- Total Vol
- $7.9M
- 24h Vol
- $171.6K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+5.0pt33%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause-7.0pt64.7%
- Pause–Pause–Cut1%
- Other+8.0pt34.3%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $124.7K
- 24h Vol
- $10.2K
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $55.2K
- 24h Vol
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- CPI in August
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- US electricity price in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US gasoline CPI for August?
- Kalshi prices Above 310 at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does US gasoline CPI for August resolve?
- US gasoline CPI for August is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is US gasoline CPI for August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.