Will the CPI in Chicago exceed 305 in December 2026?

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+6.0pt93.1%
• 25 bps increase-5.0pt6.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$57.6M

24h Vol

$3.1M

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-4.5pt76%
• No+4.5pt24%

Total Vol

$995.6K

24h Vol

$99.9K

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)-1.0pt69%
• 1 (25 bps)+3.0pt24%
• 3 (75 bps)-1.9pt7%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.2%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.3%+2.0pt98.5%

POLYMARKET

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 5.3%41%
• 5.4%-8.0pt28%
• 5.5%-8.3pt17%

+11 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+3.0pt71.8%
• Hike–Pause–Pause+6.5pt24.3%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-6.8pt1.9%

+6 more outcomes