PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 96%-0.3pt
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
10,1 €
Liquidität
23.503,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 4.3%
Spread
0.3 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
1
7d-Änderung
+0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
13. Nov. 25, 21:45 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsCanada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?
PolymarketWill any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
- An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
- Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US takes Panama Canal before 2027??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird US takes Panama Canal before 2027? entschieden?
- US takes Panama Canal before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US takes Panama Canal before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.