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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

2.0% (24h)GeopolitikOne-OffUS Politics6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 11%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

73 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

5454,8 €

Liquidität

24.793,6 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+0.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

13. Nov. 25, 21:4631. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes11%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.