Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 74%
Nein 74%Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet7. Jan. 25, 17:36 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the Panama Canal belong to the US prior to 2029
Manifold MarketsWill the United States control 50% or more of the Panama Canal by the end of Trump's Term?
Manifold MarketsTrump seizes Panama Canal in second term?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiRegeln
The Panama Canal, a crucial maritime trade route, has been under Panamanian control since December 31, 1999, following the 1977 Panama Canal Treaties signed during the Carter administration.
- Donald Trump has recently made statements suggesting Chinese troops are operating the canal and indicating a desire to retake control, claims that Panamanian President Jose Raul Mulino has firmly rejected as "nonsense."
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- The US military is deployed to the Panama Canal with the explicit purpose of taking control or establishing a military presence
- The deployment must be officially ordered by the US government
