Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 84.5%
Prognostiker
311
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
20. Jan. 25, 19:14 UTC20. Dez. 29, 10:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times.
- Resolves identically to this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanal/panama-canal-retaken
- Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Control means the United States assumes new primary operational authority over some part of the canal.
- (AI summary of creator comment)