Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
US-PolitikGeopolitikOne-Off3J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 03:37 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Veraltet8. Jan. 25, 00:09 UTC31. Dez. 29, 15:59 UTC
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Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiRegeln
Any use of military force whether sucessful or not will resolve to Yes.
- Use of military force will be interpreted as employing any branch of the US Department of Defense to attack, intimidate, or coerce via military weapons, officers, officials, soldiers, technology and/or intelligence.
- Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if there are no credible reports or evidence to suggest the US military is involved to take over Greenland at any time during Donald Trump's 2nd term.
- Note: The creator's clarification only mentions Greenland, not the Panama Canal, which is also part of the market question.