Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.8%
Prognostiker
139
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet17. Aug. 23, 23:42 UTC1. Jan. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Switzerland join NATO before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
PolymarketWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurWill Russia invade another country in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves NO if Ukraine or NATO do not exist by then.
- Only full membership counts, no "partnerships" or similar.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 581.272,5 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 96.847,5 €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 84% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030? entschieden?
- Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves NO if Ukraine or NATO do not exist by then.