FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ukraine 7%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Ukraine 7%Marktqualitat
27 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1809,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
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Verwandte Märkte
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Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PolymarketNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join NATO by 2030? 🌐➕
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join the European Space Agency as full members before 2031?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event predicts which of the listed countries will formally accede as full members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 UTC.
- A country is considered to have joined NATO only if it completes the formal accession process and is officially recognized as a member state.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is an official announcement by NATO confirming that the country has deposited its instrument of accession and has been accepted as a member.
- If NATO’s official confirmation is delayed, incomplete, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will consist of corroboration from major, reputable international news organizations reporting the formal completion of NATO membership.
- Resolution will prioritize the substantive outcome over procedural technicalities, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.