Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.8%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet7. Juni 26, 10:36 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWill any country join the Mecca Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill a new country join the European Union before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurWhich country will be the next to join the European Union?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any new country officially joins the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) before January 1, 2027 (00:00 UTC).
- If no new country joins before this deadline, the market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, a country is considered to have officially joined NATO when it deposits its instrument of accession to the North Atlantic Treaty with the Government of the United States of America (the official depositary of the Treaty) in accordance with Article 10 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
- The primary source of truth for this market will be NATO's official member countries page and official press releases from the NATO official website.
- Any country beyond the 32 existing member states that successfully completes accession and is listed as a full member before the deadline will trigger a YES resolution.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 363.008,4 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 245.496,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 62,8 Mio. €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027? entschieden?
- Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria