Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 17:45 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.2%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet27. Juli 26, 22:24 UTC31. Dez. 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?
Manifold MarketsWill the next country to join the European Union be Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsNext country to join the European Union:
Manifold MarketsWhich country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any nation that is not currently a member of the European Union (EU) officially joins the EU as a full member state on or before December 31, 2026 (23:59:59 UTC).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Official accession requires the entry into force of the country's Accession Treaty, making it a full member.
- Completing accession negotiations, signing an accession treaty, or being granted candidate status will not suffice if the official date of full membership falls on or after January 1, 2027.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be official publications and press releases from the Council of the European Union and the list of member states maintained on the official European Union portal.