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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

0.5% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikRussia / Ukraine6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 14%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

60 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

166,9 €

Liquidität

20.038 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

14.0% / 15.0%

Spread

7.1%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

-3.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

5. Nov. 25, 17:0031. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes14%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).