European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
14.0 Pkt. (24h)GeopolitikOne-OffRussland / UkraineChinaEuropa1J
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Referenzwert
2027 35%Führend unter 4 Optionen
2027 35%Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
12.248,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
4451,3 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
2027Spread
—
Kommentare
13
7d-Änderung
+1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
28. Dez. 25, 23:07 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
June 30Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketUkraine agrees not to join NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich European country will have general elections earlier?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European country formally commits to giving Ukraine a security guarantee, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the relevant European country and the Government of Ukraine which creates a binding obligation for the relevant European country to defend or directly intervene on Ukraine’s behalf, by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying “security guarantee” requires language that is equivalent in character to a NATO Article 5–style mutual defense commitment: the relevant European country must commit to responding militarily if Ukraine is attacked, or otherwise guarantee Ukraine’s defense through binding defense obligations.
- Examples of qualifying language include commitments modeled on the US treaties with Japan, South Korea, or the Philippines, or NATO's Article 5 instrument, which obligates the United States to “act to meet the common danger” through military force if an ally is attacked.
- Cooperative frameworks, capacity-building measures, consultative mechanisms, or nonbinding pledges will not qualify.
- Examples of non-qualifying arrangements include the June 13, 2024 US–Ukraine bilateral security agreement, the Taiwan Relations Act, or G7/EU “security arrangements” that provide support or consultation but stop short of binding defense guarantees.