Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by which date?
3.0 Pkt. (24h)GeopolitikOne-OffRussland / Ukraine1J
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 30.10.2026, 22:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
June 30, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Referenzwert
June 30, 2027 12%Führend unter 3 Optionen
June 30, 2027 12%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
366 €
Liquidität
12.637 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
25.077,4 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
June 30, 2027Spread
—
Kommentare
18
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert20. Nov. 25, 23:16 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · June 30, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees not to join NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill any member of the US Armed Forces die in Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Manifold MarketsU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
- A qualifying agreement must include a commitment by Ukraine to limit the total number of personnel in its armed forces.
- This includes any specific numerical cap on the number of personnel Ukraine may have in its armed forces, or any proportional limit on Ukrainian armed forces personnel (e.g., a commitment to reduce the size of the armed forces by a percentage of its current size).
- Limits on the number of personnel in specific branches of the Ukrainian armed forces will not count.