Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
> $1 trillion 40.8%Führend unter 9 Optionen
> $1 trillion 40.8%Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
11. Feb. 25, 18:38 UTC22. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the price range that encompasses the final purchase price IF the United States successfully purchases Greenland during Trump's presidency.
- The price must be officially announced and confirmed by both governments.
- Prices denominated in USD.
- Purchase prices on the limit of two price bands count toward the lower band.
- (For example, a price of $50 billion would count towards the $10-50 billion option.)
