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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wirtschaft
  3. What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

WirtschaftGeopolitikOne-OffSpaceCorporate ActionsChessSportTechnikKI6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year. 72.8%
Führend unter 95 Optionen
Prognostiker

246

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde

Verzogert
19. Dez. 25, 17:4831. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.73%

Regeln

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

Manifold Markets
  • If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
  • Clarifications
  • "SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
  • Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
  • "X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.

Verwandte Märkte

Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

165,2 €
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

0 €
SpaceX: 85%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

94,2 €
SpaceX: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

50.760,3 €
Elon Musk: 98%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

92 €
Before Jul 1, 2026: 99%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,652.06+2.46%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.75%EthereumETH$1,650.89+1.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.87%BNBBNB$595.25+1.81%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraph

Regeln

Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.

Manifold Markets
  • If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
  • Clarifications
  • "SSI will release a product": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
  • Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc.
  • "X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.