KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 40%
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
91,6 €
Liquidität
32.432,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
37.0% / 39.0%
Spread
5.4%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
24. Apr. 26, 19:1531. Jan. 28, 13:25
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes40%
Volumentrend
$1042. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Recession this year?
3216,7 €Ja: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
10.815,8 €Above 3.4%: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3863,5 €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026: Trump's dream year?
1758,6 €Ja: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1618,8 €Soft Landing: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Ja: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Regeln
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
- GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.