KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Above 0.0% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Above 0.0% 99.5%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Above 0.0% 99.5%Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1272,6 €
Open Interest
144.078,3 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Above 0.0%Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 16:30 UTC30. Okt. 26, 12:29 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 5m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Above 0.0%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q2 2027?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1.5% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2.5% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Above 0.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — US GDP growth in Q3 2026 · More than 3.0% 68%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — US GDP growth in Q3 2026? · ≥3.0% 65%
