KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 0.0% 95%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1127,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 18:30 UTC29. Juli 27, 12:29 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiWill US real GDP pc double by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1.5% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2027, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 358.548,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.589,4 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 554.348,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 33.831,6 €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 314.662,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.958,8 €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.684,1 €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 75.958,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US real GDP growth in Q2 2027??
- Kalshi bewertet Above 0.0% mit 95% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? entschieden?
- US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? soll am 29. Juli 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.