KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit1.6% to 2.0% 26%+0.1%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0,1 €
Liquidität
1393,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
26.1% / 27.0%
Spread
3.5%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
14. Jan. 26, 15:0028. Feb. 27, 13:29
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
1.6% to 2.0%26%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
GDP growth in 2026
0.8%7Mon
-5.0%43%
-0.1%19%
-1.0%17%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
40 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen25.997,4 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Regeln
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.