KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit2.1% to 2.5% 24%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
0,6 €
Liquidität
157.823,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
23.9% / 25.9%
Spread
8.4%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
14. Jan. 26, 15:0028. Feb. 27, 13:29
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
2.1% to 2.5%24%
Volumentrend
$0.632. Juli24T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
US real GDP growth in 2029?
3,5 €1.6% to 2.0%: 14%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2027?
1,8 €1.1% to 1.5%: 12%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2028?
0 €0.0% or Below: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3863,4 €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1524,7 €Soft Landing: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Ja: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.