KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k 16%Führend unter 12 Optionen
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k 16%Marktqualitat
22 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
150,6 €
Open Interest
1421,3 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99kSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 58 Minuten
Verzogert2. Okt. 26, 18:30 UTC6. Nov. 26, 13:29 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be at full employment in December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.2% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Labor market) (Employment) (Layoffs)?
ForecastExWill Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.2% in November 2026? (Jobless) (Labor market) (Employment) (Layoffs)?
ForecastExRegeln
If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- For all outcomes in this market, U3 refers to the single-decimal seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3), and NFP growth refers to the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment, as reported in thousands of jobs by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U3 uses ECONSTAT and NFP growth uses PAYROLLS. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.