KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 10%-2.0%
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3245,3 €
Liquidität
711.181,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
14. Juli 25, 14:0031. Jan. 27, 13:25
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes10%
Volumentrend
$3.7k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Recession in 2027?
91,6 €Ja: 40%KALSHI
KALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
10.569,7 €Above 3.4%: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3863,5 €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026: Trump's dream year?
1758,6 €Ja: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1662,7 €Soft Landing: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Ja: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Regeln
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.