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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Inflation
  3. State of the economy at the end of 2026
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026

3.6% (24h)InflationOne-OffWirtschaft7Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Stagflation
Stagflation 32%-3.6%
Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

8,7 €

Liquidität

142,7 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

22.7% / 31.4%

Spread

38.3%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

25. Feb. 26, 15:0013. Jan. 27, 13:25

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Stagflation32%

Regeln

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

53,4 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

40 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

7,3 €
Above 4.0%: 79%KalshiKALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

3 €
Overheating: 50%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

22.691 €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

2820,2 €
4.1%: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,701.00+1.92%EthereumETH$1,652.96+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.13+0.87%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.19%XRPXRP$1.12-0.28%BNBBNB$595.50+1.31%

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Regeln

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.