KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitSoft landing 62%+2.3%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
925,1 €
Liquidität
20.993,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
57.0% / 64.9%
Spread
13.9%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
25. Feb. 26, 15:0013. Jan. 27, 13:25
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Soft landing62%
Plattformen vergleichen· Soft landing
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt93% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 62% | 0pt | 1544,6 € | 11.523,4 € | vor 19 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 62% | 0pt | 925,1 € | 20.993,1 € | vor 19 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
US economic state at the end of 2026?
3.5%6Mon
+3.5%62%
24%
+0.5%14%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
79 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen48.516,9 €
24h-Volumen1544,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1.1k3. Juli23T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
8921,1 €Above 3.4%: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
438,4 €Above 2.1%: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
129,2 €Ja: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
19,3 €Ja: 76.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3860,1 €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
395,5 €Ja: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.