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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Inflation
  3. US economic state at the end of 2026?
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

1.0% (24h)InflationOne-OffWirtschaft7Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Overheating
Overheating 47%-3.0%
Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

3 €

Liquidität

1101,9 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.0% / 29.0%

Spread

383.3%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

24. Apr. 26, 21:5431. Jan. 27, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Overheating47%

Regeln

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.

Polymarket
  • The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
  • This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
  • If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
  • This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
  • This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.

Verwandte Märkte

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

52,7 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

42,2 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026

8,7 €
Stagflation: 32%KalshiKALSHI
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

25.804,3 €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

664,9 €
4.1%: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

419,1 €
5.50-5.99%: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,256.04+0.79%EthereumETH$1,644.49+0.29%SolanaSOL$64.92-0.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.0843-0.57%XRPXRP$1.12-1.10%BNBBNB$593.55+0.19%

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Regeln

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.

Polymarket
  • The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
  • This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
  • If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
  • This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
  • This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.