KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 4.9% 94%Führend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
5977,2 €
Liquidität
4519,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
16.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
17. Sept. 26, 16:30 UTC13. Jan. 27, 13:29 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiInflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketJapan Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketPoland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.2% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
InflationKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 265.583,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 76.256,9 €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 157.724,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 36.431,2 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-4.5pt61.4%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.5pt18.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+4.4pt17.8%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+4.0pt83.2%
- No-4.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 33.097,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 31.365,8 €
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-0.5pt41%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+4.5pt24%
- Hike–Hike–Hike-5.0pt20%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI core in October
- September Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- September Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI core in September
- CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 4.9% mit 94% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) entschieden?
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) soll am 13. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.