KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 4.0% 8%+6.0ptFührend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6755,3 €
Liquidität
7341 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
17. Sept. 26, 23:00 UTC13. Jan. 27, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
InflationKALSHICPI core in September
- Above 0.0%98%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt88%
- Above 0.2%-3.0pt41%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 41.724,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 33.682 €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 3.3%98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 299.844,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 33.516,1 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt60%
- 3 (75 bps)+2.7pt21%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt17%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 176.152,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.301,6 €
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%+5.0pt38%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above-4.0pt37%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.1% or below-5.0pt6%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-6.5pt35%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+3.0pt26.2%
- Hike–Hike–Hike+3.0pt22.3%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- CPI in October
- I bond fixed rate in November 2026
- Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- September Inflation US - Annual
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet Exactly 4.0% mit 8% (Stand: 19. September 2026).
- Wann wird CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 entschieden?
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 soll am 13. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.