KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 4.5% 26%+0.8ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4207,2 €
Liquidität
197.863,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
8.6 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
19. März 26, 16:0014. Feb. 27, 13:29
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
KALSHIUS electricity price in August
- Above 19.2¢+3.0pt99%
- Above 19.4¢+2.0pt93%
- Above 19.6¢56%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35.467 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-1.0pt55.5%
- No+1.0pt44.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 11.544 €
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause+3.0pt67%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Other-2.0pt32%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting-1.0pt32%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 0 (0+4.0pt45.1%
- 1 (25-1.0pt38.2%
- 2 (50-0.5pt14.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How high will inflation get this year??
- Kalshi bewertet At least 4.5% mit 26% (Stand: 23. August 2026).
- Wann wird How high will inflation get this year? entschieden?
- How high will inflation get this year? soll am 14. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How high will inflation get this year? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird How high will inflation get this year? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.